Anecdote: “A bitcoin ETF is going to get approved this year, perhaps early next,” said the Chairman. “The talking heads focus on how it’ll impact price, and I get that, but it’s a big deal for different reasons,” he continued. “It’ll be a major step toward bringing digital assets into the established regulatory regime. That process had started, then stalled.” I’d called for our regular exchange of thoughts, ideas. “T

Hope all goes well… “No money, no honey,” said my Grab (Uber copycat) driver, racing to the Singapore Fintech Festival. I’d asked why he was day-trading Chinese stocks from the large Huawei phone stuck to his dashboard. “You say beautiful woman in the US – in Singapore, Malaysia, we say honey, understand?” I nodded, wishing he’d keep his eyes on the road. “To get money you must risk. Don’t panic. Steady hand. Y

Hope all goes well… “I stay low key and get them to underestimate me,” said Liv. Mara and I were in Salt Lake City on Veteran’s Day for the 2023 Men’s Collegiate Club Nationals. Liv plays goalie for West Point. Which typically leaves her as the only woman in a pool of 6-foot 4-inch men. “They see me at 5-foot 4-inches, and can’t help themselves,” she said, her first game of the tournament against UCLA. “That’s how I

“Specialized knowledge that involves creativity, strategy, and complex human interactions is less likely to be commoditized because these areas are more challenging for AI to replicate,” answered GPT-4. “Humans with such expertise may find their skills in higher demand.” Couldn’t agree more. I had asked the AI whether specialized knowledge would be commoditized due to advances in AI. Obviously, the answer is yes, but

Hope all goes well… “President Biden Issues Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Artificial Intelligence,” announced the White House homepage in large, bold font [here]. It’s a rather weak name for such an important order, probably the product of a committee, or some first-year McKinsey consultant. So, I asked GPT-4 for a new name, perhaps biblical, playing on the theme of Eve and the forbidden fruit from

Anecdote: The Chrysler Building sparkled in the distance, a magnificent Art Deco skyscraper, completed in 1930, the Great Depression unfolding. They paid $2.5mm for the land back then, the value of money erodes through time. Most things do. Chrysler is now Stellantis, a conglomerate, the world’s 4th largest automaker. Its market cap is $57bln. I was standing high in the GM Building, on the corner of 5th Ave & 59t

Hope all goes well… “Elon is a genius bro,” said my Uber driver, who rents a Tesla from Hertz for $360/wk, drives 7-days straight, saves $100/wk in gas, earns as much as a Harvard grad back when they could still get Wall Street jobs. “GM makes a new car with better range, and Elon’s like – I’ll double that bro.” I smiled. “I’m a risk taker. I made dumb mistakes. Lost big. But now I study, take calculated risks,

Anecdote: The Saudi desert lay far below, hidden, the dark of night. We would soon pass comfortably between Gaza and Ukraine, conflicts, flashpoints, then across Europe, the Atlantic, home. I’d set out in early August to travel hard, explore, hunt. It had been such a boring summer, the kind of lull often followed by more exciting markets; a time to be moving, listening. Abu Dhabi and Dubai are on fire, cranes spinnin

Hope all goes well… “You on the 2am Emirates flight?” asked the American. “I flew in on Emirates, but I’m headed home on United,” I replied. “I only fly Emirates and Etihad in the Middle East. Lost a friend in 9-11 and I don’t know, ever since I find myself making these little decisions, it’s probably stupid, it’s such a miniscule risk,” he said. My flight into Dubai went directly over Tehran. And now, hours before m

Anecdote: Somewhere far below, deep within a nameless mountain, enrichment tubes were spinning at 1,500 revolutions per second. We had just passed Tehran. From 39,000 feet, the rugged, dry terrain extended beyond the horizon. On the flight map to our west lay Baghdad, Damascus, Beirut, centuries of rich history, plagued by devastating wars. They say the conflict between the Sunni and Shia goes back fourteen centuries