Hope all goes well… Been working on a longer form piece about the extraordinary environment we are entering and the investment strategies to exploit the change ahead. It is titled: The Case for Quantum Change. You’ll find it attached and I also sent it in a separate email. All the best, E Week-in-Review (expressed in YoY terms): Mon: US holiday – quiet markets, China sends 19 aircraft into Taiwan air space, coup in G

Hope all goes well… I take late summer off from writing weekend notes. Reading more, recharging. And been working on a longer form piece for next Sunday, exploring the wild decade ahead. But in the meantime, I dusted off an old anecdote about building trust, its centrality to everything truly important (see below). Enjoy your Labor Day weekend. All the best, E Week-in-Review (expressed in YoY terms): Mon: Energy pric

Hope all goes well… I take late summer off from writing weekend notes. Reading more, recharging. In the meantime, dusted off a piece I wrote in early January, to capture the enormity of what is now unfolding. And as One River races, evolving, advancing, embracing the uncertainty and opportunity that materializes in periods of great change, it felt right to re-publish The Case for Digital Assets (see below). All the b

Hope all goes well… I take late summer off from writing weekend notes. Reading more, recharging. In the meantime, dusted off an anecdote from 2016 about challenging the status quo, destroying our treasured creations, reinventing ourselves. All things to embrace as we enter an extraordinary decade, in monetary/fiscal policy, geopolitics, markets, inflation, digital assets – the ground beneath our feet already sh

Hope all goes well… I take late summer off from writing weekend notes. Reading more, recharging. In the meantime, dusted off an anecdote from 2018 about magic, mysteries, the sublime wonder all around. And where to look for the greatest opportunities (see below). All the best, E Week-in-Review (expressed in YoY terms): Mon: ECB’s Weidmann warned inflation in the euro area could pick up faster than expected, intergove

Hope all goes well… I take late-summer off from writing weekend notes. Reading more, recharging. And I’m working on a longer-form piece about a favorite strategy for the wild decade ahead. A scalable opportunity whose star is rising. Something overlooked, unloved. Be back with it in early September. In the meantime, dusted off an anecdote from 2012 about one of my favorite life moments, and the importance of playing

Hope all goes well… I take late-summer off from writing weekend notes. Reading more, recharging. And I’m working on a longer-form piece about a favorite strategy for the wild decade ahead. A scalable opportunity whose star is rising. Something overlooked, unloved. Be back with it in early September. In the meantime, dusted off an anecdote from 2017 about China. How it has re-imagined the vast power of fiat in ways th

Hope all goes well… I take late-summer off from writing weekend notes. Reading more, recharging. And I’m working on a longer-form piece about a favorite strategy for the wild decade ahead. A scalable opportunity whose star is rising. Something overlooked, unloved. Be back with it in early September. In the meantime, dusted off an anecdote about learning when to take a profit (see below). All the best, E Week-in-Revie

Hope all goes well… I take late-summer off from writing weekend notes. Reading more, recharging. And I’m working on a longer-form piece about a favorite strategy for the wild decade ahead. A scalable opportunity whose star is rising. Something overlooked, unloved. Be back with it in early September. In the meantime, dusted off an anecdote that preceded the 2018 VIX debacle – exploring Goodhart’s Law (see below)

Anecdote: Each generation believes it can create a better world. Were it not so, we would still live in caves. Some generations thirst for change through revolution. That probably has to do with longer term economic and political cycles. But for whatever reason, amongst these revolutionary generations, some are more determined, effective. The 1960s-70s youth seemed radical, but they were far from French revolutionari