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My brother’s an M&A banker in NY and keeps me in touch with US deal flow. $400bln in committed capital has sat idle for the past 18mths in Private Equity funds paying fees (did you realize there was so much idle cash?). Remember that this gets leveraged. And financing is loosening up with the banks. The PE managers are feeling pressured to put money to work (performance anxiety). Deals are getting done at a
Overall: Week #3 of the bullish capitulation got sucker-punched Friday afternoon by Goldman investigation tape-bomb. That and Iceland volcano provides bears two new triggers (out of left field) to sell market. Fri brought a round of salesman/strategist missives calling for 7-10% equity correction – guys still seem eager to call a top. Goldman news and Obama’s growing push for Bank Reform (see below) coul